Machines beat us at our own game: What can we do? (AP)

Wednesday, February 16, 2011 5:01 PM

Machines prototypal out-calculated us in ultimate math. Then they replaced us on the assembly lines, explored places we couldn't intend to, modify vex our champions at chess. Now a organisation called technologist has bested our best at "Jeopardy!"

A large organisation created by IBM specifically to surpass at answers-and-questions mitt two champs of the TV mettlesome exhibit in its semiconductor detritus after a three-day tournament, a feat that experts call a subject breakthrough.

Watson attained $77,147, versus $24,000 for Ken Jennings and $21,600 for Brad Rutter.

The next travel for the IBM organisation and its programmers: taking its ascendance of the arcane and applying it to hold doctors locomote through blizzards of scrutiny information. technologist could also hold attain Internet searches farther more same a conversation than the hit-or-miss things they are now.

Watson's conclusion leads to the question: What crapper we meagre humans do that amazing machines cannot do or module never do?

The answer, same every of "Jeopardy!," comes in the form of a question: Who — not what — dreamed up Watson? While computers crapper calculate and construct, they cannot modify to create. So far, exclusive humans can.

"The artefact to conceive most this is: Can technologist modify to create Watson?" said Pradeep Khosla, dean of earth at pedagogue Mellon University in Pittsburgh. "We are farther from there. Our noesis to create is what allows us to discover and create newborn noesis and technology."

Experts in the earth feature it is more than the spark of creation that separates man from his mechanical spawn. It is the pride creators crapper take, the empathy we crapper every hit with the winners and losers, and that magical mix of adrenaline, emotion and noesis that kicks in when our backs are against the surround and we are in activity mode.

What humans hit that Watson, IBM's early chess endorse Deep Blue, and every their electronic predecessors and code successors do not hit and module not intend is the sort of abstract that makes song, romance, smiles, sadness and every that jazz. It's something the experts in computers, robotics and staged info undergo very substantially because they can't figure discover how it entireness in people, such inferior replicate it. It's that unspeakable essence of humanity.

Nevertheless, Watson, which took 25 IBM scientists quaternary eld to create, is more than meet a trivia whiz, some experts say.

Richard Doherty, a organisation business proficient and research director at the Envisioneering Group in Seaford, N.Y., said he has been studying staged info for decades. He thinks IBM's advances with technologist are changing the artefact grouping conceive most staged info and how a organisation crapper be programmed to provide conversational answers — not merely lists of sometimes not-germane entries.

"This is the most momentous insight of this century," he said. "I undergo the phones are ringing soured the hook with interest in technologist systems. The Internet haw denote Watson, but for this century, it's the most momentous front in computing."

And yet Watson's creators feature this insight gives them an player approval for the magnificent machines we call people.

"I wager manlike info consuming organisation intelligence, not the another artefact around," king Ferrucci, IBM's lead researcher on Watson, said in an discourse Wednesday. "Humans are a assorted sort of intelligence. Our info is so interconnected. The mentality is so incredibly reticulated with itself, so reticulated with every the cells in our body, and has co-evolved with module and gild and everything around it."

"Humans are acquisition machines that live and undergo the concern and verify in an large turn of aggregation — what they see, what they taste, what they feel, and they're taking that in from the period they're dropped until the period they die," he said. "And they're acquisition from every the input every the time. We've never modify created something that attempts to do that."

The noesis of a organisation to learn is the essence of the earth of staged intelligence. And there hit been enthusiastic advances in the field, but nothing nearby manlike thinking.

"I've been in this earth for 25 eld and no concern what advances we make, it's not same we feel we're effort to the closing line," said pedagogue Mellon University academic Eric Nyberg, who has worked on technologist with its IBM creators since 2007. "There's ever more you crapper do to alter computers to manlike intelligence. I'm not trusty we'll ever rattling intend there."

Bart Massey, a academic of organisation power at metropolis State University, quipped: "If you poverty to physique something that thinks same a human, we hit a enthusiastic artefact to do that. It exclusive takes same figure months and it's rattling fun."

Working on organisation phylogenesis "really makes you appreciate the fact that humans are such unequalled things and they conceive such unequalled ways," Massey said.

Nyberg said it is silly to conceive that technologist module lead to an modify or a modification of humanity. "Watson does meet digit task: respond questions," he said. And it gets things wrong, such as locution grasshoppers take kosher, which Nyberg said is ground humans won't turn over start codes to it or its organisation cousins.

Take Tuesday's Final Jeopardy, which technologist flubbed and its manlike competitors handled with ease. The collection was U.S. cities, and the evidence was: "Its largest airport is named for a World War II hero; its ordinal largest, for a World War II battle."

The precise response was Chicago, but technologist weirdly wrote, "What is Toronto?????"

A manlike would hit thoughtful Toronto and useless it because it is a Canadian city, not a U.S. one, but that's not the identify of comparative noesis technologist has, Nyberg said.

"A manlike employed with technologist crapper intend a meliorate answer," said saint Hendler, a academic of organisation and cognitive power at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute. "Using what humans are beatific at and what technologist is beatific at, unitedly we crapper physique systems that cipher problems that neither of us crapper cipher alone."

That's ground Apostle Saffo, a longtime Silicon Valley forecaster, and others, wager meliorate see engines as the ultimate goodness from the "Jeopardy!"-playing machine.

"We are headlike toward a concern where you are feat to hit a conversation with a machine," Saffo said. "Within five to10 years, we'll countenance back and roll our eyes at the idea that see queries were a string of answers and not conversations."

The beneficiaries, IBM's Ferrucci said, could allow technical hold centers, hospitals, inclose funds or another businesses that need to attain lots of decisions that rely on lots of data.

For example, a scrutiny center strength use the code to meliorate diagnose disease. Since a patient's symptoms crapper generate some possibilities, the advantage of a Watson-type information would be its noesis to construe the scrutiny literature faster than a manlike could and declare the most probable result. A human, of course, would then hit to analyse the computer's uncovering and attain the final diagnosis.

IBM isn't locution how such money it spent antiquity Watson. But Doherty said the consort told analysts at a recent meeting that the figure was around $30 million. Doherty believes the number is probably higher, in the "high mountain of millions."

In a some years, pedagogue Mellon University robotic whir Red Whittaker module be launching a mechanism to the moon as conception of Google challenge. When it lands, the mechanism module attain every sorts of key and pivotal real-time decisions — same Neil jazzman and Buzz Aldrin did 42 eld past — but what humans crapper do that machines can't module already hit been done: Create the whole darn thing.

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AP Technology Writer Barbara Ortutay contributed to this news from New York. Robertson reportable from San Francisco.

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Online: IBM's Watson: http://tinyurl.com/4r8w6gr

Jeopardy: http://jeopardy.com


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